Powell Notes DOJ Interest Rate Investigation; Trump Disavows Any Role

Powell Notes DOJ Interest Rate Investigation; Trump Disavows Any Role

# Political Firestorm Erupts as Fed Chair Powell Alleges DOJ Probe is Attempt to Coerce Interest Rate Policy ## Gold Surges Past $4,600/oz Amid Geopolitical Tension and Central Bank Independence Crisis The intensifying political conflict between the White House and the Federal Reserve reached a critical peak this weekend after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell launched a vigorous public defense of the central bank's autonomy, claiming an ongoing Department of Justice (DOJ) investigation is a politically orchestrated campaign designed to undermine monetary policy decisions. This allegation sent shockwaves through the financial system, compounding global instability that saw gold prices soar to a record high, trading above $4,600 per ounce, fueled by both the domestic central bank crisis and international unrest, including renewed tensions in Iran. In a statement published late Sunday, Powell confirmed the Federal Reserve recently received grand jury subpoenas from the DOJ. These legal instruments, Powell stated, threaten a criminal indictment related to his 2025 testimony before Congress concerning a high-cost renovation project at the Fed’s headquarters. However, the Chair dismissed the renovation inquiry as mere pretense, insisting the true objective was political coercion. "This new threat is not about facility upgrades or previous testimony," Powell asserted. "This is fundamentally a test of whether monetary policy will be guided by economic data and evidence—or coerced by political pressure and intimidation." The dramatic accusation surfaced just as prosecutors’ scrutiny began to focus on whether Powell may have misled Congress regarding the total scope and cost of the Federal Reserve’s construction work. The investigation is reportedly examining both Powell’s public statements and the bank’s spending records. For his part, President Donald Trump, speaking shortly after Powell's release, denied any prior knowledge of the DOJ’s investigation. Nevertheless, the legal threat marks the culmination of months of severe friction between the executive branch and the central bank. The administration has frequently assailed the Fed Chair for resisting aggressive interest rate reductions, having delivered only 75 basis points of cuts in 2025, significantly short of the two percentage points or more demanded by the President. Financial market observers quickly weighed in on the high political stakes. Analysts at TD Cowen suggested in a client memo that the timing of the prosecution threat appears calculated to compel Powell to step down before his term as Fed Chair officially expires in May. "Our primary concern is that this will lead to higher interest rates as the market begins to question the Fed’s ability to respond effectively to inflationary signals," the TD analysts noted, highlighting fears that the political interference could also jeopardize critical deregulatory efforts awaiting the Fed board’s approval. Reaffirming his commitment to institutional integrity, Powell pledged to fulfill his duties based "solely on our mandate of price stability and maximum employment," irrespective of external threats. He emphasized that public service sometimes requires "standing firm in the face of threats," reiterating the central bank's traditional independence from the executive branch—a bedrock principle of U.S. economic stability. This intense showdown further clouds the outlook for the central bank as it navigates an already fraught political landscape. The administration is also currently engaged in a separate legal battle concerning Fed Governor Lisa Cook, whom the President attempted to terminate over allegations of mortgage fraud, a matter the Supreme Court is slated to address later this month. Meanwhile, attention is turning toward the imminent announcement of Powell’s successor, expected to be named before his May departure. Both White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett and former Fed governor Kevin Warsh are considered frontrunners for the position, and both are known proponents of the sharply lower interest rates favored by the administration.

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